{"id":636,"date":"2010-03-14T12:26:18","date_gmt":"2010-03-14T20:26:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2010\/03\/14\/watching-a-community-adopt-change\/"},"modified":"2010-03-14T12:32:39","modified_gmt":"2010-03-14T20:32:39","slug":"watching-a-community-adopt-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2010\/03\/14\/watching-a-community-adopt-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Watching a community adopt change"},"content":{"rendered":"

VIDEO: Great Demo on Leadership and Tipping Points
<\/a>[Via Global Guerrillas<\/a>]<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Make sure you turn on the audio for the commentary.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

[More<\/a>]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Here we can see the S-shaped curve of change adoption<\/a> happen in real time.<\/em><\/p>\n


<\/i><\/p>\n

\n \"201003141300.jpg\"
<\/i>\n<\/div>\n

The X-axis is time and the yellow curve is the cumulative number of people adopting the change. The crowd dynamics almost exactly hit this curve. Assume a total crowd at the end of about 50 people.<\/i><\/p>\n

We start with an innovator standing alone. Then another one joins and the two dance alone for almost 30 seconds. They are then followed by a third, for about 20 seconds.<\/i><\/p>\n

The tipping point on the curve, the point of maximal adoption of change, occurs at 15-20%. So for a group of 50, we would expect to see a very rapid rate of adoption occurring when 7-10 people become involved.<\/i><\/p>\n

And that is exactly what is seen. within 10 seconds after the 7th person has joined, the group more than triples in size, rapidly reaching its peak numbers.<\/i><\/p>\n

It takes over a minute for the group to grow from 1 to 3. Within another 30 seconds, there are too many to count without freezing the video.<\/i><\/p>\n

Exactly the same dynamics takes place when any sort of novel change hits a community; often not started by a half-naked dancer but by someone trying out something different.<\/i><\/p>\n

And, just as the narrator explained about how important the second and third followers are, so to is it with other types of change. It is these early adopters who mediate change for the whole community, transforming a lone nut into a leader.<\/i><\/p>\n

Without the second and third joiners, the whole movement would not have materialized. we often spend too much time on the leaders, the innovators, and not enough on those that create the tipping points – the mediators between the disruptive antics of the lone ‘nuts’ and the actions of the majority.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

VIDEO: Great Demo on Leadership and Tipping Points[Via Global Guerrillas] Make sure you turn on the audio for the commentary. [More] Here we can see the S-shaped curve of change adoption happen in real time. The X-axis is time and the yellow curve is the cumulative number of people adopting the change. The crowd dynamics … Continue reading Watching a community adopt change<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[4],"tags":[16,17,33],"class_list":["post-636","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-web-20","tag-16","tag-web","tag-web-20"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pe2yp-ag","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":119,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/04\/16\/pauls-principles-of-web-20\/","url_meta":{"origin":636,"position":0},"title":"Paul's Principles of Web 2.0","date":"April 16, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by aussiegall Web 2.0: Building the New Library [Via Ariadne] Paul Miller wrote this over 2 years ago but it amply describes the effects of new approaches will have on an area that lives by dispersing information. It is not the technology that will make a difference. It is an\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "General"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":240,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/06\/16\/enterprise-is-next\/","url_meta":{"origin":636,"position":1},"title":"Enterprise is next","date":"June 16, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by * etoile Why Web 2.0 Is No Bubble: Corporations Are Willing to Pay for It: [Via HarvardBusiness.org] Everyone seems to want an answer to the question \"When will Web 2.0 startups start making money?\" The implication is that unless we can answer the question, the \"bubble\" of Web 2.0\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Web 2.0"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/06\/city.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":89,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/04\/05\/discussing-science-20\/","url_meta":{"origin":636,"position":2},"title":"Discussing Science 2.0","date":"April 5, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by geishaboy500 Web 2.0 for Biologists-Are any of the current tools worth using?: [Via Bench Marks] David Crotty has been leading a discussion regarding the acceptance of Science 2.0 by scientists. Or rather the non-acceptance. It is ironic to use Web 2.0 approaches to examine why scientists do not use\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Science"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/tools.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":236,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/06\/12\/i-love-the-title\/","url_meta":{"origin":636,"position":3},"title":"I love the title","date":"June 12, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"VIDEO: If the CIA can collaborate with Web 2.0 tools, so can you: [Via Enterprise 2.0 Blog] Having trouble trying to sell in Web 2.0-style collaboration to the higher ups in your enterprise organization? Are there VPs and CXOs that are shying away from wiki-style knowledge management because they don't\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Web 2.0"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":138,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/04\/23\/web-20-expo-keynote-oreilly-talk\/","url_meta":{"origin":636,"position":4},"title":"Web 2.0 expo Keynote - O'Reilly talk","date":"April 23, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by takeshi enterprise wants in to Web 2.0 heart of it is collective intelligence, it is about using data to provide services. PageRank begining of web 2.0. people vote by links. wesabe - how people spend their money is a vote. can mine in waays that banks will not. let\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Web 2.0"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/04\/oreilly.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":93,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/04\/07\/public-collaboration\/","url_meta":{"origin":636,"position":5},"title":"Public collaboration","date":"April 7, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by Clearly Ambiguous Work-in-Progress Culture: [Via Transparent Office] Michael Idinopulos makes a great observation - Web 2.0 is collaboration in public. Fewer closed doors and more open hallways. The real paradigm shift in Web 2.0, I believe, is the blurring the line between publication and collaboration. In the old days,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Knowledge Creation"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/636"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=636"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/636\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=636"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=636"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=636"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}