{"id":161,"date":"2008-05-09T12:23:26","date_gmt":"2008-05-09T20:23:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/05\/09\/spanning-the-chasm\/"},"modified":"2008-05-09T13:15:36","modified_gmt":"2008-05-09T21:15:36","slug":"spanning-the-chasm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/05\/09\/spanning-the-chasm\/","title":{"rendered":"Spanning the Chasm"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"chasm\" by <\/em><\/span>soylentgreen23<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/span>
\nIs There Still A Chasm?<\/a>:
\n[Via SmoothSpan Blog<\/a>]<\/p>\n

An interesting post by Leigh <\/a>has popped up on Techmeme. She wonders, as I have<\/a>, whether the fundamental notion of Moore\u2019s Chasm has changed. Leigh\u2019s question is whether the generation that grew up on Technology still even thinks of it as early adoption, or if the behaviour has become so widespread that there really is no Chasm any longer.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s an interesting question, but I believe there will always be a Chasm of some sort. My question is whether the Early Adopter crowd is now so large, and the Internet so effective at reaching them, that perhaps it is possible to build a business without the painful dislocation that is Crossing the Chasm. Perhaps there are enough on the Early Adopter side to make a tidy business after all.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

[I’m working on a more extended form of this comment I left at <\/em>SmoothSpan<\/a><\/em>. I hope to have it posted soon.]<\/em><\/p>\n

If I remember correctly, the original adoption curve came from observations of the acceptance rates of new varieties of hybrid corn. So the curve itself describes a social phenomenon, not a technical one. I\u2019m not convinced that there are really more early adopters than before. But, the rapid rate of change presented by new technologies may alter things. The rate of diffusion of technological change through the different groups may not be able to keep up with the furious rate of the change itself.<\/em><\/p>\n

My feeling is that the problem is not what percentage are in the early adopter segment or not. There are really four chasms between each of the five groups. Up to now, the most noticeable was between the early adopter set and the early majority. Crossing this chasm would result in a narrow majority that had adopted the new technology.<\/em><\/p>\n

But new technologies move so rapidly that each of the four chasms may now be much wider, not just the early adopter-early majority. The early adopters can move so far ahead of those a little slower that the gap looks huge. (I\u2019m going through this with Twitter. I almost do not want to start because those who have been using it for even a short time seem so much more advanced and are doing so many \u2018magical\u2019 things that I fear I will never catch up. And I am an early adopter of technology).<\/em><\/p>\n

So, my feeling is that there is a greater need for those who can span the chasm and help increase the rate of diffusion. It is just more like holding a tiger\u2019s tail, since the rate of change seems to be accelerating also.
\n<\/em>
\n<\/p>\n

Technorati Tags: Knowledge Creation<\/a>, Web 2.0<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

by soylentgreen23 Is There Still A Chasm?: [Via SmoothSpan Blog] An interesting post by Leigh has popped up on Techmeme. She wonders, as I have, whether the fundamental notion of Moore\u2019s Chasm has changed. Leigh\u2019s question is whether the generation that grew up on Technology still even thinks of it as early adoption, or if … Continue reading Spanning the Chasm<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[7,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-open-access","category-web-20"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pe2yp-2B","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":227,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/06\/09\/helping-people-change\/","url_meta":{"origin":161,"position":0},"title":"Helping people change","date":"June 9, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"In Pursuit Of Process Change: [Via A Journey In Social Media]I was discussing with one of our execs the progress we'd been making on social media proficiency internally. And he asked a great question that made me think: \"So, has anyone fundamentally changed their work processes because of the platform?\"\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Open Access"","img":{"alt_text":"corn curve","src":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/06\/corn-curve.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":47,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/03\/13\/change-the-world-slowly\/","url_meta":{"origin":161,"position":1},"title":"Change the world slowly","date":"March 13, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by foxypar4 John Tropea: \u201ctools are the conduit for this culture change\u201d [Via Grow Your Wiki] John Tropea says people need to understand why they should use Web 2.0 tools in organizations, not just \u201cbecause everyone else is doing it so I need to as well, and I\u2019ll just use\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Web 2.0"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":911,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2012\/11\/21\/7-lessons-for-managing-groups-in-the-exponential-economy-learned-from-the-elections\/","url_meta":{"origin":161,"position":2},"title":"7 lessons for managing groups in the exponential economy learned from the elections","date":"November 21, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"by\u00a0Jeff Rowley Big Wave Surfer How Team Obama's tech efficiency left Romney IT in dust [Via Ars Technica] Despite running a campaign with about twice the money and twice the staff of Governor Mitt Romney's presidential bid, President Barack Obama's campaign under-spent Romney's on IT products and services by $14.5\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "21st Century Company"","img":{"alt_text":"monster wave","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/11\/11-21-2012monsterwave.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":442,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/11\/13\/not-acting-their-age\/","url_meta":{"origin":161,"position":3},"title":"Not acting their age","date":"November 13, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by whiteafrican Risky decision-making essential to entrepreneurialism: [Via EurekAlert! - Policy and Ethics] (University of Cambridge) Whether someone will become the next Richard Branson, Steve Jobs or Henry Ford may be down to whether they make risky decisions, scientists at the University of Cambridge have concluded. [MoreThis is part of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Web 2.0"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/11\/soccer-ball.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":42,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2008\/03\/08\/disruptive-leaders-from-the-gaming-world\/","url_meta":{"origin":161,"position":4},"title":"Disruptive Leaders from the Gaming World","date":"March 8, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"by aeu04117 Are Gamers Born or Made? [Via Conversation Starter] In an online response to our recent essay \"The Gamer Disposition\" and its discussion of leadership in MMOGs, Joi Ito wondered whether playing games creates the gamer disposition (bottom line orientation, embracing diversity, thriving on change, seeing learning as fun,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "General"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":680,"url":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/2010\/09\/30\/being-forced-to-deal-with-change\/","url_meta":{"origin":161,"position":5},"title":"Being forced to deal with change","date":"September 30, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"by doortoriverFeature: There is no Plan B: why the IPv4-to-IPv6 transition will be ugly [Via Ars Technica] Twenty years ago, the fastest Internet backbone links were 1.5Mbps. Today we argue whether that's a fast enough minimum to connect home users. In 1993, 1.3 million machines were connected to the Internet.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Open Access"","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/201009301231.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=161"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.spreadingscience.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}